THE PEACE PROCESS

January 1997 Samuel Aru Bol, a former deputy prime minister and past president and secretary-general of the Sudan African National Union, welcomes the political charters signed between the government and the SSIM and other southern groups: "(T)he political leaders of South Sudan, except John Garang and a few others, want to negotiate with the government of the day to achieve a peaceful and just solution to the conflict. Southerners are not warmongers but peace-loving people." He stated that the parties he represented within the Union of Sudan African Parties (USAP): "represent the interest of these peace-loving people of South Sudan and will join in the subsequent peace talks stated in this political charter."

"What is the Solution to the Southern Problem?", The Southern Sudan Bulletin, Vol. 2, No.3, London, January 1997

January 1997 There are reports of military incursions into Sudan from Ethiopia, Eritrea and Uganda. There is considerable fighting in eastern Sudan.

16 January 1997 The Guardian reports that the Sudanese rebels have "tanks and mortars" and Eritrean backing.

17 January 1997 The Times of London reports that "[b]oth countries have denied any involvement with the SPLA, but Eritrean and Ethiopian officers have been seen commanding SPLA soldiers", and quoted African diplomatic sources as saying there "is no way that the SPLA are not being supported by the Eritreans and Ethiopians". The Times also reports that this aggression has the "enthusiastic backing of the United States".

The Times (London), 17 January 1997

23 January 1997 Ethiopian involvement was also clear. The Guardian quote a senior SPLA officer as saying that "Ethiopia provides us with a corridor" and that Ethiopia accommodated the SPLA.

25 January 1997 The South Sudan Independence Movement attack the SPLA's human rights record. In a statement released in Washington-DC they call upon the United States and its western allies to "encourage reconciliation of Southern rebel groups and abstain from endorsing the SPLM-SPLA as the 'main resistance' movement." The SSIM also presented lists of southern Sudanese political leaders that had been murdered by the SPLA.

"SSIM Blasts Garang as 'Bloody Dictator'", Executive Intelligence Review, 14 February 1997 at www.aboutsudan.com

February 1997 The fighting in eastern Sudan stabilises.

21 February 1997 Dr Ghazi Saleheddin Atabani, the Secretary-General of the National Congress comments on the January incursions into Sudan by Ethiopian and Eritrean forces: "Anthony Lake, the national security adviser to the U.S. President, expounded the 'Sudan policy' of the U.S. government in a public lecture in March 1995. He explicitly pointed out that the U.S. government would harass the Sudan through some of its neighbors; Ethiopia, Eritrea, and Uganda are the biggest recipients of U.S. and European aid in sub-Saharan Africa. No wonder, therefore, that they took it upon themselves to implement those vows made by Mr Lake.The invasion was carried out at this particular point in time to scuttle the internal peace process, which had started to bear fruit."

"Foreign Invasion Designed to Wreck Sudan's Internal Peace Initiative. Interview: Dr. Ghazi Attabani", Executive Intelligence Review, 21 February 1997, at www.aboutsudan.com

30 March 1997 Following a meeting in Asmara, Eritrea, a communiqué issued by the leadership of the National Democratic Alliance states that it will only accept initiatives toward peace within the framework of IGAD. General Fathi Ahmed Ali, vice-president of the NDA, further states that the NDA had re-affirmed its goal of toppling the Sudanese government. SPLA representative at the meeting. Magnetise Haled, declares that:

"The NDA is not only an opposition force but an alternative to the present government.The NDA will make all material and spiritual means useful to make the popular uprising successful."

The Asmara meeting also declares that the opposition would topple the Sudanese government "within several months"; condemns countries supporting the Sudanese government financially, militarily and politically; agrees to step up civil disobedience abroad, threatens to try the ruling government for violating the constitution, for torture, for exporting terrorism, for ethnic cleansing and for war crimes; and calls for diplomatic sanctions by other countries in order to isolate Sudan. They also state that they are hoping to step up military operations on the eastern, western and southern fronts.

Richard Engel and Simon Apiku, "Sudanese Rebels Find Unity in Asmara", Middle East Times, 30 March 1997

April-May 1997 Commenting on the military offensive earlier in 1997. the BBC observes that: "It seemed that the northern and southern opposition movements - operating under the umbrella National Democratic Alliance - had launched a final campaign to bring down the Islamic government of President Omer Hassan al-Bashir by a strategy of direct military confrontation in the field and civilian uprisings in the main cities, particularly the capital, Khartoum."

"Under Fire", Focus on Africa, BBC, London, April-June 1997

2 April 1997 Former Sudanese Prime Minister Sadiq al-Mahdi states that the Sudanese opposition was working for the unity of Sudan but did not rule out secession for the south. He says: "Any alternative is better than war". He also assures Egypt that a potentially independent south would respect the "international nature" of the Nile.

"Sudan's Mahdi Does Not Rule Out Secession for South", News Article by Reuters, 2 April 1997

21 April 1997 The government signs the Khartoum Peace Agreement with the South Sudan Independence Movement, led by Dr Riek Machar, the Sudan People's Liberation Movement (Bahr al-Ghazal Group) represented by Kerubino Bol Kuanyin, the Equatoria Defence Force led by Dr Theophilus Ochang Loti, the South Sudan Independents Group, Arok Thon Arok's SPLA-Bor group, and the Union of Sudanese African Parties (USAP) represented by Samuel Aru Bol (USAP was itself made up of seven political parties - the Southern Sudan Political Association, the People's Progressive Party, the Sudan African Congress, the Sudan African People's Congress, the Southern Sudan Federal Party, the Sudan African National Union and the Sudan National Party). The agreement provides for a free and fair, internationally-supervised, referendum in southern Sudan to determine whether the people of the south desire independence or federation. The south would continue to be exempt from sharia law.

The agreement also guarantees freedom of movement, assembly, organisation, speech and press, and provides for an equitable representation of southerners at all levels within Sudan. It further provides for the formation of a 25-member Southern Coordination Council, to include a president, 14 ministers and the ten southern state governors, to serve as a southern government until the referendum, which was to be held in four years time given a situation of peace. It is also agreed that there will be an equitable sharing of national resources between the different regions of Sudan, with priority given to the reconstruction of the south.

23 April 1997 NDA Chairman and DUP leader Mohammed Osman al-Mirghani, the chairman of the National Democratic Alliance, the umbrella group of northern and southern opposition groups, rejects the provision of a referendum on self-determination for southern Sudan entrenched in the Khartoum Peace Agreement. He states: "We shall take drastic measures to stop the separatists from splitting up our country."

The SSIM's spokesman for information, Paul Mabior, speaking in London, states that: "The Sudanese, both from the north and south, are fed up with war and have now decided to resolve their conflict through a referendum."

"Sudan: Exiled Opposition Rejects This Week's Peace Pact", News Article by World News IPS, 23 April 1997

21 May 1997 The government of Sudan releases 80 political prisoners and states that they had been released to pave the way for cooperation between the government and the opposition. The Minister of Justice, Abdel Basit Sabdarat, states: "Sudan has no more political prisoners, all the detainees have been freed. The opposition should grip such an opportunity.The government is prepared to hold peaceful negotiations and dialogue."

The Khartoum government also states that it is preparing to draft a permanent constitution and wishes to see as many politicians as possible participating in the process.

"Sudan Frees Prisoners and Calls for Peace", Electronic Mail and Guardian, (Johannesburg), 21 May 1997

31 May 1997 The leader of the South Sudan Independence Movement, Dr Riek Machar, speaking at the end of the OAU Council of Ministers meeting, states that given the Khartoum Peace Agreement of 21 April signed between rebels and the government of Sudan, John Garang no longer had a reason to continue fighting. Machar states that the agreement was a breakthrough and realised the dreams of southern Sudanese who had been fighting since 1955 for their rights. He states that the Khartoum Agreement "is the progressive way forward. The agreement is comprehensive enough to accommodate all views.whatever they are".

"Former Guerrilla Says Garang Has No Reason to Continue Sudan War", News Article by PANA, 31 May 1997; "Ex-Ally Says Garang Cannot Win Sudanese War", News Article by Reuters, 30 May 1997

June 1997 In an interview with the Swiss newspaper Neue Zurcher Zeitung SPLA leader John Garang declares that: "We have shown that the myth of the NIF's invincibility was a balloon, and we've now punctured it . We have intensified the war in the South...I wouldn't want to predict how many days, weeks or months it will be until the regime falls. I'm no prophet. But it will be sooner rather than later, because the regime is no longer capable of reversing the situation."

"'Our Goal Is to Topple the Khartoum Regime': An Interview with John Garang, Head of the Sudan People's Liberation Army", NZZ Background, Neue Zurcher Zeitung, June 1997

9 July 1997 SPLA leader John Garang states that his forces were escalating their activities and were circling Juba. Garang also rejects the offer of a face-to-face meeting with President Bashir.

"Sudan Rebel Leader Eyes Juba, Rejects Talks", News Article by ArabicNews.com, 9 July 1997

9 July 1997 At the IGAD heads-of-state summit meeting, Sudanese President al-Bashir states that Sudan accepts the IGAD 'Declaration of Principles' as the basis for a negotiated end to the Sudanese conflict. The five leaders at the IGAD talks also issue a statement saying:

"The summit welcomed the acceptance by the government of Sudan of the declaration of principles as the basis for discussions and negotiations. The summit considered this development a major breakthrough in the peace initiative. This will enable the parties to the conflict to freely discuss and negotiate on all the points enshrined in the declaration of principles. The summit requests the chairman of the IGAD peace initiative to take the necessary measures aimed at a speedy resumption of the negotiations."

"Bashir Accepts Framework for Peace Talks", News Article by Reuters, 9 July 1997

23 July 1997 The April Khartoum Peace Agreement passes into law as the 14th constitutional amendment.

7 August 1997 The Southern Coordination Council is formed. Dr Riek Machar is appointed president of the Council.

"Sudanese President Appoints Head of Southern [Council]", News Article by XINHUA, 7 August 1997

12 August 1997 Sudanese President Omer al-Bashir, speaking at a press conference following talks with President Nelson Mandela, calls for a cease-fire in the Sudanese civil war. He states: "We believe that the war should come to an end. In this respect we have requested for a ceasefire with the faction of Dr John Garang."

"Bashir Calls for Ceasefire With Rebels", News Article by Reuters, 12 August 1997

16 August 1997 Responding to Sudanese President Omer al-Bashir's call for a cease-fire Mohammed Osman al-Mirghani, head of the National Democratic Alliance, rejects bilateral talks with the Sudanese government. He states: "The view of the NDA . is that bilateral negotiations with the regime will not achieve peace in Sudan."

"Sudan Opposition Head Rejects Talks With Khartoum", News Article by Reuters, 16 August 1997

18 August 1997 Africa Confidential Sudan specialist Gill Lusk states: "The opposition expects to overthrow the government by the end of the year or the first half of next year. Previously cautious Western officials agree. It's a matter of time."

Newsweek, 18 August 1997, p.18.

21 August 1997 The SPLA rejects Nelson Mandela's offers to mediate directly between the Sudanese government and the rebels. A statement by SPLA spokesman John Luk declares that the SPLA is not seeking any other form of mediation. He states: "The SPLA remains committed to the IGAD peace process under President Daniel Arap Moi and will not seek another alternative forum."

Former SPLA commander Riek Machar - who had signed a peace agreement with the Sudanese Government in April 1997 - states that during a visit to South Africa he and his group of 6 former rebel factions would continue to appeal to the SPLA to join the peace process.

"Why Sudan's Rebels Snubbed Mandela", Electronic Mail and Guardian (Johannesburg), 25 August 1997

22 August 1997 Sudanese President Omer al-Bashir, following his meeting with President Mandela, states: "We support the call of South African President Nelson Mandela for a ceasefire with the SPLA."

"Sudanese and the National Cake", News Article by ArabicNews.com, 22 August 1997

29 August 1997 SPLA leader John Garang refuses to meet Sudanese President Omer al-Bashir or attend the joint talks hosted by President Mandela between Bashir and Ugandan President Museveni. Garang states: "Of course the war goes on.we are preparing ourselves to defend our gains as well as to extend them."

"Rebel Leader Garang Says 'War Goes On'", News Article by Reuters, 29 August 1979

2 September 1997 President Frederick Chiluba of Zambia, following a meeting with President Bashir, stated that his government wanted to join the search for peace in Sudan: "We have seen your efforts to try and establish peace and we commend you for them."

17 September 1997 The federally-funded US Institute of Peace holds a meeting on "Religion, Nationalism and Peace in Sudan". John Prendergast of the National Security Council outlines Washington's policy toward Sudan. He describes Sudan as "the principle threat to US national security interests on the Continent today". He further states:

"The US Government strongly supports IGADD as the only viable interlocutor for peace talks on Sudan at this time. We support the IGADD declaration of principles as the basis for such talks. We do not view the April peace agreement signed between the government of Sudan and the splinter rebel southern factions as a viable alternative to peace in Sudan. We have actively countered the government of Sudan's efforts to utilise other mediators and the April peace agreement as vehicles to divide international support for IGADD."

"Meeting on Religion, Nationalism and Peace in Sudan", United States Institute of Peace, Washington, DC, 17 September 1997; http://www.usip.org/research/rehr/sudanconf/panel6.html

20 September 1997 The government and Dr Lam Akol, the leader of the SPLA-United rebel faction sign the 'Fashoda Peace Agreement'. The agreement is facilitated by the Reth of the Shilluk, and while agreeing some amendments to it, the SPLA-United becomes a further signatory to the April 1997 Sudan Peace Agreement.

25 September 1997 Commenting on the Clinton Administration's US$20 million grant in military aid to Eritrea, Ethiopia and Uganda former United States President Jimmy Carter states that it was "a tacit demonstration of support for the overthrow of the Khartoum government". He also believed that this behaviour by Washington had a negative effect on the SPLA's interest in negotiating a political settlement: "I think Garang now feels he doesn't need to negotiate because he anticipates a victory brought about by increasing support from his immediate neighbors, and also from the United States and indirectly from other countries."

'Ex-President Opposes Policy of Aiding Khartoum's Foes', The Washington Times, 25 September 1997.

October 1997 President al-Bashir announces the creation of a 377-member commission to draft a new constitution.

7 October 1997 Commenting on the Clinton Administration's Sudan policy, former American President Carter observes "If the United States would be reasonably objective in Sudan, I think that we at the Carter Center and the Africans who live in the area could bring peace to Sudan. But the United States government has a policy of trying to overthrow the government in Sudan. So whenever there's a peace initiative, unfortunately our government puts up whatever obstruction it can."

'CARE Seeks Political Fix in Sudan', Atlanta Journal-Constitution, 7 October 1999.

November 1997 American journalist Bill Berkeley, in an in-depth study of the war in southern Sudan, published in The New York Times Magazine, states: "Across the south in its heyday the SPLA behaved like an occupying army. Civilians remain the main military targets. All factions [of the SPLA] seek to destroy communities presumed to be supporting their opponents. In far-flung scorched-earth sweeps, minimally trained, totally illiterate, heavily armed fighters torch villages, steal the livestock and food, plant land mines, conscript the young men and boys and rape the women and girls. Garang's explicit strategy was to render south Sudan ungovernable, and in that he succeeded. The south today is not only ungovernable but virtually uninhabitable."

Garang states that: "Of course, we are not trying to achieve a military victory. We cannot win this war." Berkeley observes of the SPLA that it is "at once a genuine liberation movement and a loose confederation of ethnically based criminal gangs" and that "[I]ts character was shaped by its principal backer, the former Ethiopian dictator Mengistu Haile Mariam, and by Mengistu's backer, the Soviet Union". Berkeley also observes that "few doubt that the Clinton Administration has had a hand in Garang's revival".

Bill Berkeley, 'The Longest War In The World', The New York Times Magazine, November 1997

1-7 November 1997 The fifth round of Intergovernmental Authority on Development peace talks between the government and SPLA are held in Nairobi. It is the first meeting since the signing of the Khartoum Peace Agreement, and the government's offer of an internationally supervised referendum on southern self-determination. In discussions about a referendum, the SPLA present a map showing the areas it demands should exercise self-determination. These areas include not only the Nuba mountains and Ingessana Hills, but several other areas in Darfur, Kordofan, White Nile and Blue Nile. The government's offer was to have been for southern Sudan according to the 1956 boundaries. The talks stall on this issue.

2 November 1997 The European Union reiterates its support for peace talks aimed at settling the Sudanese civil war. It states that it hoped the present round of peace talks will stop the killing and let international aid flow.

3 November 1997 President Clinton signed executive order 13067, under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (50 U.S.C. 1703 et seq) and the National Emergencies Act (50 USC 1641 c), which imposed comprehensive trade and economic sanctions against Sudan. The order declared "that the policies of Sudan constitute an extraordinary and unusual threat to the national security and foreign policy of the United States".

'The U.S. Imposes New Sanctions on Sudan', Thomson Financial Publishing,

http://www.tfp.com/news/USSudan.htm, 4 November 1997.

29 November 1997 SPLA leader John Garang, in a visit to Cairo to brief Egyptian officials on the peace talks in Kenya, states that: "We are prepared as a matter of principle to talk with the government of the day in Khartoum." He also states that he is committed to preserving the unity of Sudan.

"SPLA Committed to Sudan Unity", News Article by ArabicNews.com, 29 November 1997

6 December 1997 The Sudanese foreign minister, Ali Osman Taha, accuses SPLA leader John Garang of not being interested in a peaceful solution to the conflict. He states that the last round of peace talks had achieved little, and that the government would continue to implement the peace accord it had signed in April with other rebel groups.

"Sudan Says Garang Not Interested in Peace", News Article by BBC News, 6 December 1997

12 December 1997 John Garang, commenting on the November round of peace talks in Nairobi, states that: "We intended not to reach an agreement with the NIF. This is what we did and we succeeded in it because we did not reach an agreement."

Summary of World Broadcasts, BBC, 15 December 1997

9 January 1998 Umma Party leader Sadiq al-Mahdi stated that he saw change in the government's position: "There is a new political atmosphere about national dialogue. I recognize that the language of the Sudanese government has changed."

"New Developments in Sudan: Alsadig Almahdi", News Article by ArabicNews.com, 13 January 1998.

19-20 January 1998 The first meeting of the Joint IGAD Partners Forum at ministerial level is held in Rome. In its Final Declaration the Forum declares regarding Sudan:

"Participants welcomed the resumption of the negotiating process between the Government of Sudan and the Southern Parties which took place in Nairobi in October-November 1997, under Kenyan chairmanship. They strongly appealed to the Parties concerned to fully engage in the next stage of the reconciliation process promoted by IGAD in order to bring to an end soon the Sudanese conflict.[Participants] declared their readiness to support with all possible means the 'shuttle diplomacy' under the auspices of the Kenyan chairmanship in preparation of the next session of the peace talks to be held in Nairobi in April 1998."

Final Declaration, First Ministerial Meeting of the Joint IGAD Partners Forum, Rome, 19-20 January 1998, at http://www.estreri.it/archivi/documenti/do190198.htm

28-29 January 1998 Several thousand SPLA insurgents, led by Kerubino Bol Kuanyin, attack Wau. There is fierce fighting in the north-eastern and southern part of Wau. After 48-hours of fighting the rebels retreat.

31 January 1998 The Sudanese foreign minister calls on the SPLA to offer concessions and states that the government was ready to offer guarantees to build confidence between the two sides to reach a settlement.

3 February 1998 A Sudanese army spokesman stated that Eritrea had shelled border areas in eastern Sudan. Areas around Kassala were shelled twice in three days.

"Military Confrontation Erupts Between Sudan and Eritrea", News Article by ArabicNews.com, 3 February 1998.

10 February 1998 The Sudanese government states that heavy artillery shelling from inside Ethiopia had accompanied rebel attacks in the al-Kadaref province of Sudan, near the Sudanese-Ethiopian border.

12 February 1998 The First Vice-President, Lieutenant-General al-Zubeir Mohammed Salih and a number of other officials die when their airplane crashes on landing at Nasir in Upper Nile. SPLA spokesman Justin Yaac claimed that SPLA forces had shot down the plane as it was passing through "an area we control".

'Sudan rebels say they downed vice-president's plane', News Article by Reuters, 12 February 1998

13 February 1998 As more information emerges about the crash which resulted in the death of the first vice-president and other officials, which was the result of poor visibility during landing, the SPLA withdraw its claim to have shot his plane down. SPLA spokesman John Luk stated that they had no forces in the area in southern Sudan where the crash occurred.

'Sudan rebels withdraw plane crash claim', News Article by Reuters, 13 February 1998

19 February 1998 NDA chairman, and DUP leader, Mohammed Osman al-Mirghani, in meetings with the Egyptian government, states that peace can only be achieved in Sudan through talks with the Sudanese government and opposition groups.

"Peace Will Not be Achieved in Sudan Except Through Talks", News Article by ArabicNews.com, 19 February 1998

22 February 1998 Interviewed in Khartoum, the president of the Southern Coordinating Council, Dr Riek Machar, discussed the evolution of the peace process in the light of the return to Khartoum of several northern opposition leaders: "[T]here are new alliances taking place in the country. The final result would be that the attempt for reconciliation with the northern political parties will be accelerated, whatever their stand will be. Pluralism, freedom of speech, freedom of political organisation are coming. The moves towards peace have been consolidated. Definitely, they will have to come to terms with the government. In it, the loser will be John Garang, because the talk of the overthrow of the government, will not be there with the northern political parties, if they get the guarantees; politically, they will operate. They will have no reason to continue holding arms and fighting the government. Garang will be faced with the choice, to come to peace. After all, he has no reason to continue the war, because if he is fighting for the federal system, this is under implementation; if he is fighting for self-rule in the South, there is a special status for the South during the interim period. If he is fighting for the right to self-determination, it shall be exercised through a referendum. He has no political agenda."

"Why Southern Leaders Want to End the War. Interview: Dr Riek Machar", Executive Intelligence Review, 13 March 1998, at www.aboutsudan.com

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